INSTITUTE FOR POLICY RESEARCH

Communities Partnering 4 Peace (CP4P) Preliminary Individual Results

September 2021

 N3 and IPR Researchers, Northwestern University

This report by the Northwestern Neighborhood & Network Initiative (N3) looks at the impact of Communities Partnering 4 Peace (CP4P), a Chicago collaboration of outreach and victim services organizations. Formed in 2017, CP4P’s goals are to reduce gun violence among individuals who are most likely to be involved in gun violence, neighborhood disputes, and group conflicts through outreach workers and the provision of employment, education, legal, and behavioral health services. N3 finds that CP4P has served about 3,600 people since July 2017. N3 concludes, preliminarily, that CP4P successfully locates those people at highest risk of being victims of gun violence, potentially increases positive outcomes such as more education and employment, and potentially reduces the risk of involvement in gun violence.

Read the report.

Child Care in the Time of COVID: How Illinois Resourced Programs to Support (Re)opening

September 2021

Terri Sabol (IPR/Human Development and Social Policy), Tímea Virágh, Olivia Healy, and Anika Nerella, Northwestern University

This report examines the distribution throughout Illinois of three key resources meant to support continued child care program operation during the COVID-19 pandemic: (1) Emergency Daycare Licenses to reopen programs during mandated closures for children of essential workers, (2) federal Paycheck Protection Program loans to qualified child care businesses, and (3) Illinois Child Care Restoration Grants, which were funded with federal money under the Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security (CARES) Act of 2020. The researchers find good results for Illinois. These resources were accessed equitably among neighborhoods across the state, with few differences between the characteristics of neighborhoods with child care programs that received supports compared to those that did not. The one exception is that urban programs were more likely to receive resources compared to rural ones.

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Reaching and Connecting: Preliminary Results from Chicago CRED’s Impact on Gun Violence Involvement

August 2021

N3 and IPR Researchers, Northwestern University

The current study by the Northwestern Neighborhood & Network Initiative (N3) examines 234 men who entered the CRED program in 2019 from Roseland and West Pullman. Early results suggest that CRED (a) successfully locates high-risk populations, (b) successfully connects participants to intensive programming, and (c) potentially reduces the risk of involvement of gun violence of its participants in the short term.

Read the report.

Healthcare Workers Are More Vaccine Enthusiastic, But 27% Are Not Vaccinated

August 2021

Roy H. Perlis, Matthew Baum, and Mauricio Santillana, Harvard University; Katherine Ognyanova, Rutgers University; David Lazer, Hong Qu, Ata Uslu, Jon Green, and Matthew Simonson, Northeastern University; James Druckman (IPR/Political Science), Jennifer Lin, Evan Simon Myers, and Uday Tandon, Northwestern University

As healthcare institutions face decisions regarding vaccination mandates, an ongoing national survey examines healthcare workers’ attitudes and vaccination rates. Healthcare workers appear to be more vaccine enthusiastic than the general population. However, survey results show that 27% of healthcare workers are unvaccinated, and 15% are vaccine resistant. The data suggest that without vaccine mandates, unvaccinated healthcare workers may remain unvaccinated.

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Survey Investigates Top Parental Concerns About COVID-19 Vaccine

August 2021

Roy H. Perlis, Matthew Baum, and Mauricio Santillana, Harvard University; Katherine Ognyanova, Rutgers University; David Lazer and Matthew Simonson, Northeastern University; Caroline Pippert, Jennifer Lin, James Druckman (IPR/Political Science), and Uday Tandon, Northwestern University

An August 2021 survey explores parents’ concerns about the COVID-19 vaccine for their kids. The researchers find the top concerns among parents are whether the vaccine has been tested enough (51%), the potential for lasting health effects (50%), and how new the vaccine is (46%). Additionally, the data show moms are more likely than dads to express concerns about COVID-19 vaccinations for their children. Their top concern is whether the vaccine has been tested enough (58%).

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Survey Explores Misinformation Beliefs Among Americans

August 2021

Matthew Baum, Roy H. Perlis, and Mauricio Santillana, Harvard University; Katherine Ognyanova, Rutgers University; David Lazer, Jon Green, Matthew Simonson, and Ata Uslu, Northeastern University; James Druckman (IPR/Political Science) and Jennifer Lin, Northwestern University

Twenty percent of Americans believe at least one COVID-19 vaccine misinformation statement is true, according to an August 2021 survey from a research consortium that includes Northwestern University. Additionally, the researchers find more than half (51%) of the respondents report they are not sure whether to believe at least one false statement. The groups most likely to hold vaccine misperceptions include people aged 25–44, those with high socioeconomic status, and Republicans. Over 25% in each group said at least one false statement was true.

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What Do Americans Think About People Who Are Not Vaccinated?

August 2021

Matthew Baum, Roy H. Perlis, and Mauricio Santillana, Harvard University; Katherine Ognyanova, Rutgers University; David Lazer, Hong Qu, Jon Green, and Matthew Simonson. Northeastern University; Jennifer Lin, Caroline Pippert, James Druckman (IPR/Political Science), Kirsten Huh, and Maryarita Kobotis, Northwestern University

According to the latest results from a national survey, Americans have more favorable feelings toward people who are vaccinated against COVID-19. Between June 9 and July 7, the researchers surveyed 20,669 people across the United States and explored people's thoughts about people who are not vaccinated. Using a thermometer scale from 0 to 100 degrees, the researchers find the average feeling toward vaccinated people is 78 degrees compared to 45 degrees for those who are not vaccinated.

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Survey Finds 64% of Americans Support Government Vaccine Mandates

July 2021

Matthew Baum, Roy H. Perlis, and Mauricio Santillana, Harvard University; Katherine Ognyanova, Rutgers University; David Lazer, Jon Green, Matthew Simonson, and Ata Uslu, Northeastern University; and Anna Wang, Jennifer Lin, and James Druckman (IPR/Political Science), Northwestern University

As Delta variant infections grow, support for vaccine mandates is rising, too. Survey results show support for vaccine mandates increased from 58% in April to 64% in June. Additionally, the researchers find strong support for government vaccine mandates in most states, with the highest in Massachusetts (81.1%) and lowest in Wyoming (45.7%). 

Read the report. 

Is Facebook ‘Killing Us’? A New Survey Investigates

July 2021

Matthew Baum, Roy H. Perlis, and Mauricio Santillana, Harvard University; Katherine Ognyanova, Rutgers University; David Lazer, Jon Green, Matthew Simonson, and Ata Uslu, Northeastern University; and Jennifer Lin and James Druckman (IPR/Political Science), Northwestern University

Following the Surgeon General’s July 15 advisory on health misinformation and social media, President Joe Biden remarked that Facebook and other social media platforms are “killing people.” Though Biden quickly backpedaled on his remark, Facebook rebutted it, citing instead its own study that showed increasing “vaccine acceptance” by U.S. Facebook users. So, does Facebook play a role in COVID-19 misinformation? New survey results from researchers at Northwestern, Harvard, Northeastern, and Rutgers universities suggest that it does. The researchers find that those who relied on Facebook for COVID-19 news had substantially lower vaccination rates than the overall U.S. population. Those who received most of their news from Facebook also displayed lower levels of institutional trust and greater acceptance of misinformation.

Read the report.

Survey Shows Growing Support for Vaccinating Children and School Vaccine Mandates

July 2021

Matthew A. Baum, Roy H. Perlis, and Mauricio Santillana, Harvard University; Katherine Ognyanova, Rutgers University; Matthew Simonson, David Lazer, Hong Qu, Ata Uslu, and Jon Green, Northeastern University; James Druckman (IPR/Political Science) and Jennifer Lin, Northwestern University

New survey results reveal Americans have grown more supportive of vaccinating children now than when compared to surveys taken earlier this year. Still, uneven trends emerge based on the respondents’ age and gender. Young mothers and mothers of young children remain the most resistant to vaccinating their children. Mothers tend to be the primary decision makers when it comes to their children’s health. Their resistance to vaccinating children may delay progress on getting more Americans vaccinated if younger children become eligible for COVID-19 vaccines. 

Read the report.

Social Isolation Is Down Overall, But Some Americans Remain Isolated

July 2021

Roy H. Perlis, Matthew A. Baum, and Mauricio Santillana, Harvard University; Katherine Ognyanova, Rutgers University; Alexi Quintana, David Lazer, Hanyu Chwe, Jon Green, Matthew Simonson, and Ata Uslu, Northeastern University; Kirsten Hu, James Druckman (IPR/Political Science) and Jennifer Lin, Northwestern University

As states reopen and lift COVID-19 safety measures, a July 2021 survey of more than 185,000 people from all 50 states shows another sign of improvement—levels of social isolation are falling. Researchers from Northwestern, Harvard, Northeastern, and Rutgers looked at 15 months of data, finding that the percentage of socially isolated respondents fell most among people with high incomes and education. But those who are unemployed and poor remain more isolated than other segments of the population.

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The Economy and Pandemic Are Improving, Mental Health Is Not

May 2021

New Community Policing Program Shows Some Positive Progress, But Requires More Work

May 2021

N3 and IPR Researchers, Northwestern University

In January 2019, the Chicago Police Department (CPD), in collaboration with the Policing Project at New York University School of Law, launched the Chicago Neighborhood Policing Initiative (CNPI). The Northwestern Neighborhood & Network Initiative (N3), under the leadership of IPR sociologist Andrew Papachristos and executive director Soledad McGrath, evaluated the two-year-old program and found that the police and community participants show some positive changes. For example, their report shows greater police visibility, more police attention to community concerns, and, most importantly, more meaningful interpersonal interactions between residents and police officers. However, several factors might have set back those interactions, like the pandemic, Chicago’s high rates of shootings and gun deaths, George Floyd’s murder and the subsequent protests, all of which strained police-community relations. 

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More Americans Oppose Vaccine Passports Than Support Them

May 2021

Matthew A. Baum, Roy H. Perlis, and Mauricio Santillana, Harvard University; Katherine Ognyanova, Rutgers University; Alexi Quintana, Matthew Simonson, and David Lazer, Hanyu Chwe, Jon Green, and Ata A. Uslu, Northeastern University; and James Druckman (IPR/Political Science) and Jennifer Lin, Northwestern University

As more Americans receive the COVID-19 vaccine and communities begin re-opening, many remain divided about whether proof of vaccination, or “vaccine passports,” should be required to shop in person or travel. Between April 1 and May 3, 2021, the researchers surveyed over 21,000 individuals, randomly assigning them to questions asking about various scenarios under which businesses might require or ask for proof of vaccinations. Only 27% of respondents on average support vaccine passports, while 50% oppose them. 

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Support for School Vaccination Requirements Rises from 54% to 58%, But Some Resistance Remains

May 2021

Matthew Baum and Roy H. Perlis, Mauricio Santillana, Harvard University; Katherine Ognyanova, Rutgers University; Matthew Simonson, Hanyu Chwe, David Lazer, Jon Green, Ata A. Uslu, Adina Gitomer, and Alexi Quintana, Northeastern University; James Druckman (IPR/Political Science), and Jennifer Lin, Northwestern University

Between April 1 and May 3, 2021, researchers surveyed 21,733 individuals across the country about their attitudes on childhood vaccinations. The results indicate cities and Democratic-leaning states will be more likely to implement vaccination requirements: 76% of Democrats support them versus only 38% of Republicans and those in cities (66%) are more likely to be in favor of them than those in suburban (56%) and rural areas (49%). Meanwhile, parents’ attitudes toward vaccinating children have widened in terms of their educational backgrounds, incomes, and political affiliations. Parents who have become more resistant to vaccinating their children earn less than $25,000 per year, identify as Republican, and do not have a college degree. 

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Americans Shift Toward "Pro-Vaccine" Direction After J&J Vaccine Pause

April 2021

Matthew Baum, Roy H. Perlis, and Mauricio Santillana, Harvard University; Katherine Ognyanova, Rutgers University; David Lazer, Jon Green, Adina Gitomer, Matthew Simonson, Ata A. Uslu, and Alexi Quintana, Northeastern University; James Druckman  (IPR/Political Science) and Jennifer Lin, Northwestern University

On April 13, 2021 the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) and Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) recommended pausing the use of the Johnson and Johnson (J&J) COVID-19 vaccine. A new survey by a consortium of four universities that includes Northwestern suggests the pause did not have negative effects on vaccination attitudes. Nearly 74% of respondents were aware of the pause, but vaccine hesitancy and resistance did not increase after the pause. However, respondents did show a vaccine preference after the pause. People preferred Pfizer over Moderna and they preferred Moderna over J&J. 

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Which Networks Are Most Effective at Improving Student Achievement?

April 2021

Michelle Shumate (Communication/IPR), Joshua Miles, Anne-Marie Boyer, and Zachary Gibson, Northwestern University; Rong Wang, University of Kentucky; Katherine R. Cooper, DePaul University; Jack L. Harris, SUNY at New Paltz; Shaun Doughtery and Hannah Kistler, Vanderbilt University; and Miranda Richardson, University of Connecticut

A Northwestern study shows city and nonprofit leaders can achieve social impact by using a variety of frameworks that are just as, if not more, effective than the commonly used "collective impact" framework. The Network for Nonprofit and Social Impact (NNSI) conducted the three-year study that evaluated the effectiveness of 26 education networks’ “collective impact” in improving education outcomes in their communities. The study points to several key takeaways that could change the way organizations work together to improve student achievement. Most notably, the researchers find that greater adherence to the five initial conditions of collective impact does not result in a more significant social impact.

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Community-Based Research Shows More People Exposed to COVID-19 Virus Than Previously Known

April 2021

Thomas McDade (IPR/Anthropology), Alexis Demonbreun, Richard D’Aquila, Nanette Benbow, Brian Mustanski (Medical Social Sciences/IPR); Elizabeth McNally, and the SCAN Study Research Team, Northwestern University

As the U.S. rushes to vaccinate Americans to prevent a wider outbreak of COVID-19, the FDA has currently authorized three vaccines for emergency use, two of which use a two-dose regime. Northwestern University researchers are conducting an ongoing community-based study that shows that mild or asymptomatic infections—which comprise the vast majority of infections in the general population—do not generate high levels of protective immunity. The April 2021 study also shows that a single dose of current two-dose mRNA vaccines does not provide adequate protection for most people who had mild or asymptomatic cases of COVID-19.

Read the report.

Vaccination Rates for Healthcare Workers Have Doubled

March 2021

Matthew A. Baum, Roy H. Perlis, and Mauricio Santillana, Harvard University; Katherine Ognyanova, Rutgers University; David Lazer, Jon Green, Adina Gitomer, Matthew Simonson, Ata A. Uslu, and Alexi Quintana, Northeastern University; and James Druckman (IPR/Political Science) and Jennifer Lin, Northwestern University

Since January 2021, more U.S. healthcare workers have said they are ready to get vaccinated, with rates of vaccine hesitancy dropping from 37% to 29%, according to a March 2021 survey from a research consortium that includes Northwestern University. The same survey finds a similar drop in the hesitancy rate for workers outside of healthcare, falling from 41% to 31%. The survey also shows the rate of vaccination has doubled among healthcare workers, and those with a graduate degree have been vaccinated at four times the rate of those with a high school degree or less (43% versus 13%). The researchers discovered that levels of vaccine hesitancy decreased when they looked at a respondent's gender, education level, income, and political identification. However, the decline is less correlated to one's race/ethnicity, age, or where one lives.

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Survey Shows 53% of Americans Support Biden’s Handling of COVID-19

March 2021

Matthew A. Baum, Roy H. Perlis, and Mauricio Santillana, Harvard University; Katherine Ognyanova, Rutgers University; David Lazer, Ata A. Uslu, Alexi Quintana, Jon Green, Adina Gitomer, and Matthew Simonson, Northeastern University; and James Druckman (IPR/Political Science) and Jennifer Lin, Northwestern University 

How much Americans approve—or disapprove—of their governors and the president’s handling of COVID-19 in their state appears divided by party lines, according to the latest results from an ongoing national survey of more than 170,000 Americans between April 2020 and February 2021. Conducted by a consortium of four universities that includes Northwestern, Harvard, Northeastern, and Rutgers, the survey finds that Republicans are generally more disapproving of their governors—even more so when their governor is a Democrat. Meanwhile, Democrats have increased their ratings for all governors on average, especially Republican ones.

Read the report.

Survey Shows Parents Are More Hesitant to Get Vaccines for Their Kids

March 2021

Matthew A. Baum, Roy H. Perlis, and Mauricio Santillana, Harvard University; Katherine Ognyanova, Rutgers University); Matthew Simonson, David Lazer, Adina Gitomer, Ata A. Uslu, John Green, and Alexi Quintana, Northeastern University; and James Druckman (IPR/Political Science) and Jennifer Lin, Northwestern University

While coronavirus vaccines are yet to be approved for children, public health officials worry that the increasing numbers of parents skeptical of vaccinating their children for any disease could affect overall vaccination rates for the coronavirus. A March 2021 survey aims to understand how prevalent this attitude is among parents and adults without children.  The survey results show parents are more hesitant about getting the coronavirus vaccine for themselves and their children than those without children across different socioeconomic and demographic groups, with young mothers driving the gap. Mothers between the ages of 18 and 35 are a third less likely to get the vaccine as soon as it becomes available and nearly a third more likely to refuse it altogether.

Read the report.

New Survey Shows Wide Gaps in Who Is Getting Vaccinated

March 2021

Matthew A. Baum, Roy H. Perlis, and Mauricio Santillana, Harvard University; Katherine Ognyanova, Rutgers University; David Lazer, Jon Green, Adina Gitomer, Matthew Simonson, Alexi Quintana, and Ata A. Uslu, Northeastern University; and James Druckman (IPR/Political Science) and Jennifer Lin, Northwestern University

In his March 11, 2021 primetime address, President Biden pledged that all adults over the age of 18 would have access to a COVID vaccine by May 1. Despite the progress in vaccinating more than 64 million Americans to date, a March 2021 national survey of more than 21,000 Americans underscores that wide disparities still exist in terms of who has been able to get a vaccine so far. It also pinpoints how a complex system of vaccine distribution cuts off the people best placed to convince more vulnerable Americans to get one. The researchers from Northwestern, Harvard, Northeastern, and Rutgers conducted the survey between February 5 and March 1, 2021. They find that education was the biggest predictor of who had already been vaccinated: 29% of respondents with graduate degrees had already received their COVID shots versus just 9% of those with a high school diploma or less, and the figures were similar for vaccine hesitancy (8% vs. 30%).

Read the report.

National Survey Shows 13% of Healthcare Workers Are Vaccinated

February 2021

Roy H. Perlis, Matthew A. Baum, and Mauricio Santillana, Harvard University; Katherine Ognyanova, Rutgers University; David Lazer, Matthew Simonson, Jon Green, Adina Gitomer, and Alexi Quintana, Northeastern University; and James Druckman (IPR/Political Science) and Jennifer Lin Northwestern University

According to a February 2021 nationally representative survey, a 50-year-old White male doctor in the Northeast, earning more than $200,000, is more than seven times likely to be vaccinated than a 45-year-old Black female nursing assistant in the South, earning less than $50,000. While healthcare workers held similar attitudes to most Americans on their hesitancy in, and resistance to, getting vaccinated, they were more likely to be vaccinated overall (13%) than Americans generally (2%) since they are on the COVID frontlines as essential workers. The survey finds that education, income, gender, and race/ethnicity are strong predictors of vaccination rates, as well as of vaccine hesitancy and resistance among those at the frontlines of the fight against COVID-19.

Read the report.

Parents Voice Concern About Students’ Learning Losses

February 2021

Matthew A. Baum, Roy H. Perlis, and Mauricio Santillana, Harvard University; Katherine Ognyanova, Rutgers University; Jon Green, David Lazer, Alexi Quintana, Matthew Simonson, Adina Gitomer, and Ata A. Uslu, Northeastern University; and James Druckman (IPR/Political Science) and Jennifer Lin Northwestern University

Read the report.

Guns Sales Spike in 2020

February 2021

Roy H. Perlis, Matthew A. Baum, and Mauricio Santillana, Harvard University; Katherine Ognyanova, Rutgers University; Matthew Simonson, David Lazer, Jon Green, Adina Gitomer, Alexi Quintana, and Ata A. Uslu; Northeastern University; and James Druckman (IPR/Political Science), Uday Tandon, and Jennifer Lin Northwestern University

Amid the protests and turbulence of 2020, Americans set a new record for gun purchases, with the FBI tallying a new high of 21 million background checks over the year. That was an increase of 26% over the 2016 record of 15.7 million. In a February 2021 national survey that took place between December 16, 2020 and January 11, 2021, nearly 9,000 of 25,000 Americans said they bought guns in 2020. Protesters were approximately between 2 and 4 times more likely to buy a gun than those who did not protest. For those who attended a protest against police violence or racism, 13% bought a gun. But that increased to 23% for those attending a rally to support former President Trump or to protest election fairness or COVID-19 restrictions. 

Read the report.

National Survey Finds Most Americans Favor Vaccination

January 2021

Matthew A. Baum, Roy H. Perlis, and Mauricio Santillana, Harvard University; Katherine Ognyanova, Rutgers University; David Lazer, Adina Gitomer, Matthew Simonson, Alexi Quintana, and Ata A. Uslu Northeastern University; and James Druckman (IPR/Political Science) and Jennifer Lin, Northwestern University

As President Joe Biden promises to vaccinate more than 100 million Americans by the end of his first 100 days in office (April 29), new research offers several critical insights for those in charge of managing such a massive national public health effort. The researchers, who hail from four major U.S. universities including Northwestern, surveyed approximately 25,000 individuals from around the nation between December 16 and January 10. Their findings show that Americans generally favor getting a vaccination themselves (75%) and do not typically believe COVID-19 vaccine misinformation, though certain groups are more likely to believe false information about vaccines. They are also more likely to be swayed to get vaccinated by messages from their doctors and scientists than those from famous political figures, athletes, or actors, and generally agree with current policies prioritizing which groups should get vaccinated first, such as frontline medical personnel and first responders.

Read the reports here and here.

Why Individuals at the Highest Risk of Gun Violence Choose Chicago CRED

January 2021

Dallas Wright (IPR/N3); Lester Kern, Durrell Washington, and Briana Payton, University of Chicago; and Kevin Barry, Soledad McGrath (IPR/N3), and Andrew Papachristos (IPR/N3/Sociology), Northwestern University

This report from the Northwestern Neighborhood and Network Initiative (N3) identifies how a street outreach program run by Chicago CRED (Creating Real Economic Destiny) not only identifies but also engages such individuals. It details the experiences of participants in the program, highlighting how they perceive the violence that surrounds them, as well as why they joined and choose to stay in CRED.

Read the report.

A Network Analysis of Three Weekends of Shootings in Chicago, June 18–July 5

January 2021

Nicolas Villar, George Wood, Jess Robinson, and Soledad McGrath (IPR/N3); and Andrew Papachristos (IPR/N3/Sociology), Northwestern University

This report from the Northwestern Neighborhood and Network Initiative (N3) examines the shootings and homicides that occurred during one of the most severe upticks of gun violence in 2020—the two-week period between Father’s Day and the Fourth of July Weekend, June 18 to July 5, 2020. By delving more deeply into this period, the report aims to illustrate how understanding the networks in which gun violence occurred during an especially deadly outbreak of violence might inform policy and practice.

Read the report.

App Explores Seven Key Economic Topics

December 2020

Diane Whitmore Schanzenbach (IPR/SESP) and Natalie Tomeh (IPR), Northwestern University

During the COVID-19 crisis, rates of food insecurity, job losses, and missing mortgage or rent payments have been high. People have been reporting difficulty in paying for their usual household expenses, and their feelings of anxiety and worry have increased. A new app, which draws on the U.S. Census Bureau’s Household Pulse Survey data that have been collected since April, provides snapshots of seven key economic indicators that highlight the severity of the ongoing crisis for many Americans.

Read the full report for more information about the app and notes on the data.

As Latest Relief Package Passes, 1 in 5 Americans Confronts Severe Economic Hardships

December 2020

Matthew A. Baum, Roy H. Perlis, and Mauricio Santillana, Harvard University; Katherine Ognyanova, Rutgers University; David Lazer, Alexi Quintana, Matthew Simonson, Jon Green, Ata A. Uslu, Adina Gitomer, and Hanyu Chwe, Northeastern University; and Jennifer Lin and James Druckman (IPR/Political Science), Northwestern University

A December 2020 survey reveals the dismal scope of many Americans’ economic struggles as Congress approves an eleventh-hour $900 billion pandemic relief package before remaining benefits expire at the end of December. Between November 3 and 30, 2020, the researchers asked roughly 20,000 individuals across the United States and Washington, D.C. about five key economic hardships: unemployment, pay cuts, evictions, making rent or a house payment, and stopping or cutting work to take care of children.

Read the report.

As Coronavirus Cases Jump, Illinoisans Slip in Following Public Health Guidelines

November 2020

Roy H. Perlis, Mauricio Santillana, and Matthew A. Baum, Harvard University; Katherine Ognyanova, Rutgers University; David Lazer, Alexi Quintana, Adina Gitomer, Ata A. Uslu, Matthew Simonson, Jonathan Green, and Hanyu Chwe, Northeastern University; and James Druckman (IPR/Political Science), Jennifer Lin, Louis Yang, and Kirsten Huh, Northwestern University

As COVID-19 cases in Illinois surge past spring’s high point, a November 2020 survey examining people’s behaviors in the state shows that colder weather driving people indoors and COVID fatigue are likely behind the virus’ deadly second wave. The number of COVID-19 cases in Illinois has increased sharply over the last two months from about 2,000 cases per day in late September 2020 to a seven-day rolling average of roughly 12,000 daily cases since mid-November 2020.

Read the report.

More Wearing Masks But Fewer Staying Six Feet Apart

November 2020

Mauricio Santillana, Roy H. Perlis, and Matthew A. Baum, Harvard University; Katherine Ognyanova, Rutgers University; David Lazer, Alexi Quintana, Jonathan Green, Matthew Simonson, Ata A. Uslu, Hanyu Chwe, and Adina Gitomer, Northeastern University; and James Druckman (IPR/Political Science) and Jennifer Lin Northwestern University

As the United States waits to see how high already grim rates of COVID-19 will go after Thanksgiving, a November 2020 survey shows that the states with the lowest levels of social distancing behaviors and mask-wearing since the pandemic started are enduring the most severe outbreaks now. Researchers tracked how closely more than 139,000 people followed public health recommendations over 10 waves of surveys from April to November 2020 in every state plus the District of Columbia.

Read the report.

Most Americans Support Restrictive Measures to Curb COVID-19

November 2020

Matthew A. Baum, Mauricio Santillana, Roy H. Perlis, and Mauricio Santillana, Harvard University; Katherine Ognyanova, Rutgers University; Ata A. Uslu, David Lazer, Alexi Quintana, Matthew Simonson, Adina Gitomer, Jon Green, and Hanyu Chwe, Northeastern University; and James Druckman (IPR/Political Science) and Jennifer Lin Northwestern University

Despite differing opinions about whether shutdowns have been effective, November 2020 survey results show 6 in 10 Americans support more restrictive measures to prevent the spread of COVID-19. Following the election, researchers surveyed nearly 20,000 individuals across the nation between November 3 and 23. They asked about seven key restrictions: staying at home, gathering in large groups, closing businesses, limiting restaurants to carry-out, prohibiting in-person K–12 classes, canceling events, and restricting travel.

Read the report.

Depression Among Young Adults Soars During Pandemic

November 2020

Roy H. Perlis, Matthew A. Baum, and Mauricio Santillana, Harvard University; Katherine Ognyanova, Rutgers University; Jon Green, Alexi Quintana, Adina Gitomer, Hanyu Chwe, David Lazer, and Matthew Simonson, Northeastern University; and Jennifer Lin and James Druckman (IPR/Political Science), Northwestern University

A November 2020 survey of over 8,900 young adults, aged 18–24, across the U.S. finds that they showed higher levels of depression amid the pandemic, no matter their gender, racial or ethnic group, or geographic location. Nearly half  (47%) of those surveyed described having at least moderate symptoms of depression. More urgently, over a third (37%) reported occasional thoughts that they might be better off dead, or had thoughts of harming themselves—a tenfold increase in the rate prior to the pandemic.

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Which Issues Top Americans’ Minds as They Vote?

November 2020

Matthew A. Baum, Roy H. Perlis, and Mauricio Santillana, Harvard University; Katherine Ognyanova, Rutgers University; Adina Gitomer, Alexi Quintana, Jon Green, David Lazer, Hanyu Chwe, and Matthew Simonson, Northeastern University; and Jennifer Lin and James Druckman (IPR/Political Science), Northwestern University

As the nation heads into Election Day 2020, a survey of more than 20,000 American voters on the most important problems facing the U.S. finds their top answers, including the coronavirus at No. 1 overall, align more with issues that Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden has focused on during his campaign. The researchers show that COVID-19 topped the list for voters in every state but Alaska, where 16% of respondents chose climate change instead. Other first-picks mentioned were racism (10% ranked it first), the economy (8%), healthcare (7%), and crime and violence (6%).

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Survey Finds Older Americans Tweet More Fake News About COVID-19

October 2020

COVID-19 Testing Speeds Increase

October 2020

Matthew A. Baum, Roy H. Perlis, and Mauricio Santillana, Harvard University; Katherine Ognyanova, Rutgers University; Hanyu Chwe, Alexi Quintana, David Lazer, Adina Gitomer, Jon Green, and Matthew Simonson, Northeastern University; and James Druckman (IPR/Political Science) and Jennifer Lin Northwestern University

The average turnaround time for COVID-19 nasal swab tests decreased from an average of 4 days in April 2020 to 2.7 days in September 2020, according to the latest results of an ongoing national survey of attitudes about COVID-19. Despite the quicker testing speeds, the results are still too slow in most cases to support successful contact tracing.

The researchers, who surveyed over 52,300 respondents in July, August, and September 2020, looked at over 8,800 who received a COVID-19 nasal swab test. They found only 56% of those who tested positive for the coronavirus reported being contacted by someone to trace people they had been physically near in the last week. Of those who were notified about possible exposure, 37% said they were contacted by their state government, 28% by their local government, 25% by the hospital, and 8% by a non-profit organization.

Read the report.

Survey Shows Why 2020’s ‘Election Day’ Might Turn into ‘Election Week’

October 2020

Matthew A. Baum, Roy H. Perlis, and Mauricio Santillana, Harvard University; Katherine Ognyanova, Rutgers University; David Lazer, Jon Green, Alexi Quintana, Adina Gitomer, Matthew Simonson, and Hanyu Chwe, Northeastern University; and James Druckman (IPR/Political Science) and Jennifer Lin, Northwestern University

A ongoing survey indicates why Americans might see President Trump ahead at the end of election night on November 3, but then see Biden pull ahead and declared the winner by the end the week. The researchers, who surveyed more than 20,300 Americans between September 4 and 27, 2020 find a substantial increase in the number of those who say they plan to vote using mail-in or absentee ballots. They estimate 82 million voters will cast such ballots in the 2020 U.S. presidential election, or more than six times those that did in 2016. They also reveal a deep partisan divide when it comes to preferences for how people plan to vote: 68% of those who favor Trump say they will turn out on Election Day to cast their ballot versus just 23% who favor Biden. But likely voters overall favored Biden by 50% to 40%.

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As Relief Talks Stall, 80% of Americans Back Passage of a Fifth Coronavirus Bill

October 2020

Matthew A. Baum, Roy H. Perlis, Mauricio Santillana, and John Della Volpe, Harvard University; Katherine Ognyanova, Rutgers University; Adina Gitomer, Hanyu Chwe, David Lazer, Jon Green, Alexi Quintana, and Matthew Simonson, Northeastern University; and Jennifer Lin and James Druckman (IPR/Political Science), Northwestern University

In the face of stalled talks on a new coronavirus relief package, the Democratic-controlled House of Representatives passed a largely symbolic $2.2 trillion one on October 1, 2020. A national survey finds 80% of Americans support passage of a new relief bill. The survey, conducted between September 4 and 27, 2020 asked more than 20,000 Americans for their opinions on the next COVID-19 relief bill. Congress has passed four COVID-19 relief packages totaling $3.4 trillion since the start of the pandemic in the United States, including the latest, the CARES Act on March 27, 2020. The strong support for a fifth bill cuts across party affiliation and race.

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Review of the Evanston Police Department’s Use of Force Policy

September 2020

N3 and IPR Researchers, Northwestern University

The Evanston Police Department (EPD) asked the Northwestern Neighborhood and Networks Initiative (N3), led by Soledad McGrath and Andrew Papachristos (IPR/Sociology), to review its use of force policy. N3 developed a brief report and recommendations following a review of the current policy, a review of data on EPD use of force made available through the city’s public data portal, and research on best practices in use of force, training, transparency, and accountability.

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Misinformation About COVID-19 and Vaccine Acceptance

September 2020

Matthew A. Baum, Roy H. Perlis, Mauricio Santillana, and John Della Volpe, Harvard University; Katherine Ognyanova, Rutgers University; Hanyu Chwe, Alexi Quintana, David Lazer, Matthew Simonson, and Jon Green, Northeastern University; and James Druckman (IPR/Political Science) and Jennifer Lin, Northwestern University

According to the latest results from an ongoing national survey of attitudes about COVID-19, you are more likely to fall for misinformation about coronavirus conspiracies, risk factors, and preventative treatments if you get your news from social media. Of the 21,000 individuals surveyed around the nation between Aug. 7 and 26, 2020, 28% of Snapchat users, 23% of Instagram users, and 25% users of Wikipedia believed inaccurate claims. In contrast, the lowest levels of misperceptions emerged for those who received news about the pandemic from local television news, news websites or apps, and community newspapers (11% in each case).

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Public Trust and Americans’ Willingness to Vaccinate for COVID-19

September 2020

Matthew A. Baum, Roy H. Perlis, Mauricio Santillana, and John Della Volpe, Harvard University; Katherine Ognyanova, Rutgers University; Hanyu Chwe, Alexi Quintana, David Lazer, Matthew Simonson, and Jon Green, Northeastern University; and Jennifer Lin and James Druckman (IPR/Political Science), Northwestern University

The latest results from an ongoing national survey of attitudes about COVID-19 shows that a desire to vaccinate depends on trust in leaders and institutions. Public trust for 15 government institutions and leaders’ ability to manage the pandemic gradually eroded between late April and August. Four institutions—state government (68%), Congress (42%), the White House (46%), and police (65%)—have seen double-digit declines of between 12 and 13 points in trust since the spring. That said, trust levels for most others like banks and media have stabilized since late July 2020.

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Managing Multiple Pandemics: How Street Outreach Workers Are Addressing Gun Violence and COVID-19

September 2020

Dallas Wright (IPR/N3); Rose Werth (IPR/N3/Sociology); Dawna Goens Leggett and Soledad McGrath (IPR/N3); and Andrew Papachristos (IPR/N3/Sociology), Northwestern University

This report from the Northwestern Neighborhood and Networks Initiative (N3) details how how street outreach workers are currently dealing with three pandemics: gun violence, the coronavirus, and racism and police violence. Data show that the neighborhoods covered by outreach workers affiliated with Communities Partnering 4 Peace (CP4P) were the very same neighborhoods with Chicago’s highest rates of COVID-19.

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Americans’ Approval of Governors’ Ability to Handle COVID-19 Continues to Decline

September 2020

Matthew A. Baum, John Della Volpe, Roy H. Perlis, and Mauricio Santillana, Harvard University; Katherine Ognyanova, Rutgers University; David Lazer, Alexi Quintana, Hanyu Chwe, Matthew Simonson, and Jon Green, Northeastern University; and James Druckman (IPR/Political Science) and Jennifer Lin, Northwestern University

According to the latest results from an ongoing national survey of attitudes about COVID-19, governors saw their approval slip to 48% on average in August 2020—a 3% drop from last month, even as President Trump’s edged up slightly.  In April 2020, Americans’ approval of governors’ management of COVID-19 stood at an average of 63%. The same survey shows the president’s national approval rating improved slightly from 32% in July 2020 to 34% in August 2020—though it stood at 42% in April 2020. 

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New Research Shows That the Typical Homicide Victim Is in Their Late 20s

September 2020

Jess Robinson, Ava Cheevers, and Soledad McGrath (IPR/N3); and Andrew Papachristos (IPR/N3/Sociology), Northwestern University

The latest research from the Northwestern Neighborhood and Networks Initiative (N3) shows that in 2019 the average age of a homicide victim in Chicago was 29 years of age and the median age was 27 years old, meaning that a typical homicide victim is in his or her 20s. Over the past decade, the median has fluctuated between 24 and 28 years old, and Chicago has seen a 71% decrease in the number of victims 12 or younger since the 1990s. Still, violence permeates Chicago, especially in communities on the South and West Sides, with Black and Latino residents more likely to die by gun violence at rates far higher than for White ones.

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Americans Not Confident Schools Can Re-Open Safely

August 2020

Matthew A. Baum, Roy H. Perlis, and Mauricio Santillana, and John Della Volpe, Harvard University; Katherine Ognyanova, Rutgers University; Hanyu Chwe, David Lazer, Jon Green, Alexi Quintana, and Matthew Simonson, Northeastern University; and James Druckman (IPR/Political Science), Northwestern University

According to the latest results from an ongoing national survey of attitudes about COVID-19, most Americans do not believe it is safe for K-12 students to return to in-person classes this fall. Only 31% of respondents believe that returning to school is very safe (10%) or somewhat safe (21%). There are differences across groups of Americans, notably by gender and race. For instance, women are less likely to consider returning to school as very or somewhat safe (28% versus 34% for men), as are non-White respondents (19% versus 37% among White respondents).

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Communities Partnering for Peace (CP4P) Street Outreach: The Moments that Matter

August 2020

Rose Werth (IPR/N3/Sociology); Dallas Wright, Dawna Leggett, and Soledad McGrath (IPR/N3); and Andrew Papachristos (IPR/N3/Sociology), Northwestern University

As the research partner for Communities Partnering for Peace (CP4P), the Northwestern Neighborhood and Networks Initiative (N3) uses quantitative and qualitative methods to study its impact.  While analysis of administrative and survey data illuminates a wide range of behaviors and outcomes, they cannot fully describe the full spectrum of potential participant outcomes. Therefore, CP4P and N3 launched a qualitative study to provide a more holistic account of participants' lives and experiences with street outreach.

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Most Americans Willing to Vaccinate for COVID-19, While Testing Speeds Lag

August 2020

Mauricio Santillana, Roy H. Perlis, Matthew A. Baum, and John Della Volpe, Harvard University; Katherine Ognyanova, Rutgers University; Alexi Quintana, Hanyu Chwe, and Matthew Simonson, Northeastern University; and James Druckman (IPR/Political Science), Northwestern University

The latest results from an ongoing survey of Americans’ opinions about the COVID-19 pandemic show that two-thirds (66%) of Americans say they are either “somewhat” or “extremely” likely to vaccinate themselves and their children against the novel coronavirus when such a vaccine becomes available. At the same time, Americans are waiting four days on average to find out the results of COVID-19 nasal swab tests, according to survey results collected between July 10 and 26. This is double the ideal amount of time of 1–2 days for effective contact tracing of COVID-19 cases.

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Visualizing Food Insecurity

July 2020

Diane Whitmore Schanzenbach (IPR/SESP) and Natalie Tomeh, Northwestern University

IPR researchers have created a new tool for visualizing food insecurity data across the nation. Users can find data from April 23, 2020 onward from the U.S. Census Household Pulse Survey on weekly rates of food insecurity for respondents with and without children, which can also be sorted by race and ethnicity for selected states.

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Racial Disparities in Food Insecurity Persist

July 2020

The Chicago Neighborhood Policing Initiative: Preliminary Findings and Lessons Learned

July 2020

Dawna Leggett (IPR/N3); Wayne Rivera-Cuadrado, Karlia Brown, and Kat Albrecht (IPR/N3/Sociology), and Soledad McGrath (IPR/N3); and Andrew Papachristos (IPR/N3/Sociology), Northwestern University

In January 2019, the Chicago Neighborhood Policing Initiative (CNPI) was launched. The Northwestern Neighborhood & Network Initiative (N3) began evaluating CNPI during its initial rollout. Analyses of
the first year of implementation are presented in this report. They include findings on officer and community perceptions of one another, perceptions of public safety, and community satisfaction with police performance; an assessment of CNPI’s impact on community trust; and preliminary recommendations.

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Americans Are Losing Confidence in Government Executives’ Ability to Handle COVID-19

July 2020

Matthew A. Baum, John Della Volpe, Roy H. Perlis, and Mauricio Santillana, Harvard University; Katherine Ognyanova, Rutgers University; David Lazer, Alexi Quintana, Hanyu Chwe, and Matthew Simonson, Northeastern University; and James Druckman (IPR/Political Science), Northwestern University

Confidence in executive leadership is declining, with governors seeing a 10-point drop on average in approval from April to June. Just five governors saw increases in approval, in Hawaii, Michigan, New Jersey, South Dakota, and Vermont. Approval for Republican governors is highly polarized: Only four governors overall have approval ratings at 70% or above, and all are Republicans in Democratic-leaning states. Out of the 10 governors with approval ratings below 45%, eight are Republicans in Republican-leaning states.

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How Much Has Food Insecurity Risen? Evidence from the Census Household Pulse Survey

June 2020

Food Insecurity in the Census Household Pulse Survey Data Tables

June 2020

Americans’ Trust in Institutions' Ability to Handle COVID-19 Is Fading

June 2020

Roy H. Perlis, Matthew A. Baum, Mauricio Santillana, and John Della Volpe, Harvard University; Katherine Ognyanova, Rutgers University; David Lazer, Northeastern University; and James Druckman (IPR/Political Science), Northwestern University

In the third wave of an ongoing survey, researchers found that Americans’ trust is fraying in their institutions’ ability to respond—especially with regard to the police, in whom trust had fallen by 8% since April. Overall trust in the police in the second half of May was lowest among African Americans, with just 54% saying they have “some” or “a lot” of trust, compared to 75% of white respondents, 65% of Hispanic respondents, and 73% of Asian American respondents who said the same.

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Worried About Having a Baby During the Pandemic?

May 2020

Estimates of Food Insecurity During the COVID-19 Crisis: Results from the COVID Impact Survey Week 2 (May 4–10, 2020)

May 2020

Most Americans Support Vote by Mail During the COVID-19 Pandemic

May 2020

Matthew A. Baum, John Della Volpe, Roy H. Perlis, and Mauricio Santillana, Harvard University; Katherine Ognyanova, Rutgers University; David Lazer, Northeastern University; and James Druckman (IPR/Political Science), Northwestern University

In the second wave of an ongoing survey, James Druckman and his fellow researchers found that a majority of Americans (60%) support efforts to make it easier to vote by mail in the upcoming November election, including majorities in 46 states. The researchers also showed that “a considerable proportion of Americans say they would be more likely to vote if mail were an option,” and that majorities of respondents in all but three states—South Carolina, Arkansas, and Mississippi—said they felt confident in their knowledge of how to do so.

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Most Americans Prefer to Wait to Reopen the Country

May 2020

Matthew A. Baum, John Della Volpe, Roy H. Perlis, and Mauricio Santillana, Harvard University; Katherine Ognyanova, Rutgers University; David Lazer, Northeastern University; and James Druckman (IPR/Political Science), Northwestern University

A majority of Americans (60%) continue to prefer that the country wait at least four weeks before reopening, according to a new survey of more than 20,000 Americans between May 2 and 15, 2020. But partisan gaps on when to reopen are becoming more prominent. The numbers of Republicans preferring that the country reopen “immediately” jumped from 9% to 19% since the first wave of the survey.

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Estimates of Food Insecurity During the COVID-19 Crisis: Results from the COVID Impact Survey Week 1 (April 20–26, 2020)

April 2020