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Saving for a (not so) Rainy Day: A Randomized Evaluation of Savings Groups in Mali (WP-14-15)

Lori Beaman, Dean Karlan, and Bram Thuysbaert

High transaction and contracting costs are often thought to create credit and savings market failures in developing countries. The microfinance movement grew largely out of business process innovations and subsidies that reduced these costs. Beaman, Karlan, and Thuysbaert examine an alternative approach, one that infuses no external capital and introduces no change to formal contracts: an improved “technology” for managing informal, collaborative village‐based savings groups. Such groups allow, in theory, for more efficient and lower‐cost loans and informal savings, and in practice have been scaled up by international non‐profit organizations to millions of members. Individuals save together and then lend the accumulated funds back out to themselves. In a randomized evaluation in Mali, the researchers find improvements in food security, consumption smoothing, and buffer stock savings. Although they do find suggestive evidence of higher agricultural output, they do not find overall higher income or expenditure. They also do not find downstream impacts on health, education, social capital, and female decision‐making power. Could this have happened before, without any external intervention? Yes. That is what makes the result striking, that indeed there were no resources provided nor legal institutional changes, yet the NGO‐guided, improved informal processes led to important changes for households.

Lori Beaman, Assistant Professor of Economics, Faculty Fellow, Institute for Policy Research, Northwestern University

Dean Karlan, Professor of Economics, Yale University

Bram Thuysbaert, Visiting Professor, Ghent University

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