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WP-95-02

Predictors of Economic Hardship Among Middle-Aged and Older Adults

Anne S. Welch and Fay Lomax Cook

Abstract

Because the economic circumstances of the elderly have improved dramatically in the past 30 years and there is no longer a strong relationship between old age and economic need, some argue that age is now irrelevant in understanding economic hardship. We test the relevance of age by examining the extent to which the same factors predict economic hardship regardless of whether one is old or middle aged. Using data from the national survey, Americans' changing Lives, we compare the factors associated with economic hardship among the elderly to those of middle-aged adults. Rather than measuring economic hardship with the traditional income-based poverty threshold, we use respondents' reports of economic difficulties that they have actually experienced. We test the importance of demographic, social, family, psychological, and health factors on the likelihood of experiencing economic hardship in four age groups: 45-54, 55-64, 65-74, and 75+. We find adults ages 55-64 and 65-74 have the most similar patterns of predictors with repondents significantly more likely to experience economic difficulty if they have low household income, are a racial minority, live in larger households, are in poor health, have a low sense of "mastery," and have few social supports. Fewer predictors in the model explain economic hardship in the 75+ group. We speculate why predictors of economic hardship are so similar for ages 55-64 and 65-74, and why our model explains so much less of the variance in economic hardship among the oldest old than among the other three age groups. We conclude that the circumstances related to economic hardship are not exactly the same across all age gorups in the second half of life. Age may be becoming less relevant than it once was in understanding economic hardship, but it is still not entirely irrelevant.

Ann S. Welch, School of Education and Social Policy, Northwestern University
Fay Lomax Cook
, School of Education and Social Policy, Northwestern University



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